FBI NIBRS Database analysis - Sex Crimes in American Churches 

Furthering our analysis of the FBI NIBRS database of crimes in churches we decided to analyze the percentage of forced sex crimes. These crimes include: Forceable Rape, Forcible Sodomy, Sexual Assault with an Object and Forcible Fondling (indecent Liberties/Child Molesting). We chose data for the latest ten-year period available, which is 2007-2016.
 
What can we learn from this analysis?

1. When looked at as a percentage of all church crime the numbers indicate a variance of only 5.26% for the last ten years.
2. The percentages seem to be rising slightly in the past couple of years.
3. Sex crimes in churches are a significant percentage of the total church crime picture.

Here is a graphic of the percentages.
 

Here are the raw numbers:

 

We look forward to bringing you further analysis of real church crimes in the future.
 
Study background – What is the Real story on church crimes?
 
This study was undertaken in the effort to use verified quantitative data to research the rate of church crimes in the U.S.. It is the first analysis of Church violent crimes derived from the FBI’s National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS). The study covers the years 1991-2016 and focuses on crimes of a violent or forceful nature against persons. 
 
The results are derived from research conducted on actual FBI data and not internet searches or news articles.

Since 2009, one of our ongoing research projects is to analyze data from various Church Crime databases from various sourcces.  One database of particular interest is the FBI's ICPSR National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS), https://ucr.fbi.gov/nibrs-overview, which contains summary reports and databases of individual crime incidents reported to the FBI. The latest files available for research are those for 2016. 
 
Disclaimer – NIBRS is an ongoing effort by the Federal Government to track crime in the U.S.. Not all states report equally. There are exceptions to which states are included in the data available. However, it is the best quantitative data available. Some state report in Summary files, whereas other states report the Detailed Incident records. In the Detail Incident records, we extracted those records that indicate a location code of – Church / Synagogue /Temple /Mosque.” Some 97 million incidents are included in the total national archives. The FBI data is available for 1991-2016, over 25 years.
 
V-Crimes - Data collection models differ in how they collect their data and which data they choose to count as what type of crime. This study focuses on crimes of force or violence against persons. V-Crimes include those crimes against persons coded as: Aggravated Assault, Assault, Murder/Non-negligent Manslaughter, Negligent Manslaughter, Kidnapping/Abduction, Robbery, Forcible Rape, Forcible Sodomy, Sexual Assault with an Object, Forcible Fondling.

Highest Regards and God Bless,



Chuck Chadwick
President, NOCSSM